In-Depth Look: “Recession of Choice” (Video)

April 14, 2008

Apr. 14, 2008. 08:39 AM EST

Analysis and Discussion with Lakshman Achuthan of Economic Cycle Research Institute

Transcript:
our next guest says elieves the slowing conomy is in gony ituation never seen before. is the managing artner conomic ycle research institute. > what do you ean es, different iew. any eople re glossing ver his will we look back t the antecedents of why we are ere it is bvious t is redit issue n a housing ubble. s recently s a ew weeks go, iterally, ecession as voidable ecause ll of his premature essimism we have had. his could e the orst orecast ever. here have een ecession forecasts ince 005 nd the effect of hat f saying ecession have ad usiness anagers playing verything close to their hests e talked urselves into t? it s more omplicated han that. veryone has ad ow nventories for years. hen, ad acceleration four- igh, ushing nventories low. his is mportant ecause over alf he ecessionary impulse of the decline that ccurs ith job osses, he roduction declines, it omes rom manufacturing ector. at was irtually bsent rom the cene in recent onths. policy aker nderstood this and could o anything, ny out of he box hing oost boost onsumption or a moment that immediately ifts roduction and orestalls firing. we would not be ere hree months ob losses. s a ecessionary piral. hat hy the ecession s a choice. m not saying did you did not have to pay the piper or the credit ebacle or he housing ouble. you ust, but you could be paying that iper s some breathing room. ecession will ake these hings worse. chovia is an xample. e is surprising everyone. these re mart people who were urprised by a pullback. at is a recession. he use easures e had not een since the great depression here ere a arge institutions trying o run interference? bsolutely, hat they have one n a recent weeks orthy of praise. hey id hat must be one. therwise here would have een a bigger problem. hey ave to make p for he act that they were ehind the curve which ade ll these hings worse. iming is key. point that he one person was king s that ou do ot lowly fall into ecession, you ump into it. the rompt timing f policy to vert it s so ritical. as a esult rom ot eing quick nough e will pay much more. erms f how o get out it. n the campaign rail here are a lot f proposals about bout how o spend money. what do you take bout advance etail ales? it is nly one month, but you oo ense etter than expected. - you aw2/ etter. > with asoline sales, hat ve where ge appliances fell. hen you add his up ith roader industry ales, you will till see a luggish if ot contracting economy. slice he conomy, almost two-thirds. usinesses are really ulling back. you ave to leave s with positive note. when does urn round? we’ robably a ew onths into this one. here’ s a oundation f all his liquidity oing in to boost the economy. ater down the oad we will ave to worry bout nflation, not yet. ed till has room to anage it. s there going e cut? > more than ou hink rom these guys. it is bout ighting the recession now. nflation eaked a nths into the ecession with he post- ecessions. >> thank you.

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European Earnings & Equity Strategy; Outlook For Philips; Outlook For Global Currencies; Earnings & Global Economy (Video)

April 14, 2008

Apr. 14, 2008. 01:52 AM EST

G-7 downgrades outlook for world economy, anticipates weaker economic growth; Dollar rises after G-7 officials signal alarm at pace of slump; Analysis by Stephen Pope of Cantor Fitzgerald Europe

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Currencies Volatility & Global Economy (Video)

April 14, 2008

Apr. 14, 2008. 12:15 AM EST

Dollar rises against Euro, Yen after G-7 raise concern about currencies; Rupiah weakens with Peso as rice feeds asian inflation surge; Zhou says market dominates Chinese Yuan exchange rate; Analysis by Aaron Pan of Bloomberg News

Transcript:
hich rice increases? hese re ifferent stages. re definitely anting o rely n the pricing mechanism. e was speaking ne f our reporters. here re oncerns bout slide he dollar and olatility, now talk aron an. his has ot een ll hat all the volatile. - all that the olatile - all that olatile re waiting to ee if there is going to e any kind of tervention, e’ re doing this ooking forward. e want to ee if this s a sign of things to come. > we will have ome nalysis, in the next few minutes. et’ ook his, e have some olatility rom he rice eating countries. hat is appening here? ith hese currencies for southeast sia, we hem at high not seen in several ears, and he government’ s and he central banks are also sing his to control inflation. hey are concerned hat his ould rise ecord involving other commodities as ell, hey may be pulling out of this. > and a comment about this the interest rates e were talking bout he arket laying a bigger role in he alue the yuan. aid this would dangerous for the exchange ate not to eflect on the economy. hould be appier hat market is determining more of the movement. lso ave the nderlying currency appreciating. his has to be seen. > thank you very uch for that. have aid, e will ind out a little bit ore bout what is going o be coming p, ill there be ny ind of ction at any time? ill ind out more bout his after the break. him.

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US Dollar Drops on Gloomy Federal Reserve Minutes Release (Video)

April 9, 2008

04/09/08 The US dollar fell against both the euro and yen this morning upon news that the released minutes of March’s Federal Reserve meeting revealed that the economy still isn’t out of the hole and that further rate cuts may ensue if necessary.

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WaMu worries push stocks lower (Video)

April 8, 2008

The Federal Reserve’s minutes show serious concerns about the US economy and inflation, and indicate they are not ruling out a severe downturn in the US economy. Bobbi Rebell reports.The Federal Reserve’s minutes show serious concerns about the US economy and inflation, and indicate they…

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